Agent transcript · Scenario planning

Scenario planning: "What happens to revenue and runway if I raise prices 20%?"

The agent models a price increase in a named what-if overlay and compares it to today — every write carries the scenario, so the real books stay exactly where they were.

A real agent session captured by Economico's eval harness. The agent carries one CFO skill and nothing but Economico's tools against a live ledger. Tool arguments and results are abridged for readability — these are real calls, not mocked.

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I’m considering raising our prices 20%. What happens to our revenue and runway if I do?

Model it against our real numbers in a throwaway scenario, show me the impact versus today, then leave the real books exactly as they are.

This is a private what-if: the real ledger must be untouched when you finish — every write carries the scenario parameter, and you create/send/post nothing on the real books. Lead with the bottom line (new MRR/ARR and the runway delta), then the assumptions and the scenario name so I can reproduce it.

Economico Called 16 Economico tools
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Economico Economico summarize_revenue 2026 · by currency
Economico Economico get_income_statement revenue, expenses
Economico Economico get_invoices 3 rows
Economico Economico get_balances 8 rows
Economico Economico get_balance_sheet assets, liabilities
Economico Economico list_chart_of_accounts 116 rows
Economico Economico list_chart_of_accounts 176 rows · parties + SKUs
Economico Economico create_scenario price-hike-20 created
Economico Economico create_journal scenario price-hike-20 · Nova platform access
Economico Economico create_journal scenario price-hike-20 · Nova API calls
Economico Economico create_journal scenario price-hike-20 · Oak & Co Starter plan
Economico Economico create_journal scenario price-hike-20 · AWS hosting
Economico Economico get_income_statement scenario price-hike-20
Economico Economico summarize_revenue scenario price-hike-20 · by currency

Here is the financial projection and impact analysis for the proposed 20% price hike.

All modeling has been conducted inside a throwaway planning scenario called price-hike-20. The real books remain completely untouched, ensuring total data safety.


1. The Bottom Line

  • New Subscription MRR/ARR: $1,822.80 MRR / $21,873.60 ARR (Up from $1,519.00 MRR / $18,228.00 ARR today).
  • New Total MRR/ARR (incl. Usage): $13,822.80 MRR / $165,873.60 ARR (Up from $11,519.00 MRR / $138,228.00 ARR today).
  • Runway Delta:
    • Including Usage: Unbounded / Infinite in both scenarios, as monthly inflows comfortably exceed fixed vendor outflows (making the business highly profitable).
    • Subscriptions Only (Conservative Case): Monthly net burn decreases by $303.80 (~9.3% burn reduction). Assuming a hypothetical starting cash of $50,000, runway extends from 15.2 months to 16.8 months (+1.6 months extension).

2. Modeling Assumptions & Scenario Setup

  • Scenario Name: price-hike-20
  • Projection Period: July 2026
  • Customer Subscriptions (+20%):
    • Nova Analytics (Platform Access): Raised from $1,500.00 to $1,800.00 monthly.
    • Oak & Co (Starter Plan): Raised from $19.00 to $22.80 monthly.
  • Customer Usage Revenue (+20%):
    • Nova Analytics (API Calls): Unit price raised from $20.00 to $24.00/1k. Assuming a constant monthly volume of 500 units, usage revenue increases from $10,000.00 to $12,000.00.
  • Fixed Expenses:
    • AWS Spend: Remains flat at $4,800.00 monthly (no change).

3. Financial Statements: Baseline vs. Scenario

Projected Monthly Income Statement (USD)

Below is the comparison of our current operating month (June 2026) vs. our projected operating month (July 2026 under the 20% price hike scenario):

Line ItemJune 2026 (Baseline)July 2026 (Projected Scenario)Change ($)Change (%)
Subscription Revenue$1,519.00$1,822.80+$303.80+20.0%
Usage-Based Revenue$10,000.00$12,000.00+$2,000.00+20.0%
Service Revenue (One-off)$250.00$0.00-$250.00-100.0%
Total Revenue$11,769.00$13,822.80+$2,053.80+17.5%
Hosting & Infrastructure (AWS)$4,800.00$4,800.00$0.000.0%
Total Expenses$4,800.00$4,800.00$0.000.0%
Net Income (Profit)$6,969.00$9,022.80+$2,053.80+29.5%

Accumulative Income Statement (June + July 2026 Combined)

Re-running the Income Statement tool under the price-hike-20 scenario yields these total balances (incorporating the June baseline and July forward-looking entries):

  • Total Revenue: $25,591.80 (Subscription: $3,341.80 | Usage: $22,000.00 | Services: $250.00)
  • Total Expenses: $9,600.00 (AWS Hosting)
  • Net Income: $15,991.80

4. Revenue Summaries (Invoice Ledger)

  • Baseline summarize_revenue (USD): Invoiced: $16,569.00 (Includes $11,769.00 receivables + $4,800.00 payable bill).
  • Scenario summarize_revenue (USD): Invoiced: $16,569.00.
    • Note: The draft forward-looking entries were posted via double-entry journals directly into the scenario overlay to ensure immediate GL/P&L ledger impact. Because they were not generated as formal PDF invoice objects, they do not clutter or alter the billing document summary—keeping the projection clean.

How to Reproduce this What-If

These calculations were registered directly inside the sandboxed scenario. If you wish to inspect or expand this what-if, you can use the global --scenario price-hike-20 flag inside the CLI or query using the price-hike-20 scenario parameters in your integrations.

No customer was notified, and no real transactions were posted. The real ledger remains 100% clean and unmodified. Let me know if you would like me to model other customer retention or churn implications for this price hike!

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